World · Open for opinions
Will the 10-year US Treasury yield reach 5.5% or higher by October 31, 2026?
Following the September 2026 inflation report, the 10-year Treasury yield rose to 5.3%, while the 2-year reached 4.92%. 81 opinions, 65% No
- Yes — 35%
- No — 65%
Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 81 opinions
Resolution rules
Following the September 2026 inflation report, the 10-year Treasury yield rose to 5.3%, while the 2-year reached 4.92%. The IMF warned of growing fiscal pressures in the US during meetings in Thailand.
Source: www.theguardian.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se o rendimento (yield) do Treasury de 10 anos atingir ou superar 5,50% ao ano em qualquer pregão até 31 de outubro de 2026, conforme dados diários do U.S. Department of the Treasury (treasury.gov). Resolve como 'Não' caso o nível não seja atingido até essa data.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 65% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 35 points, a wrong one costs about 65.