World · Open for opinions
Will the WTI crude oil price exceed US$ 100 per barrel again before November 1, 2026?
WTI oil exceeded US$ 100 per barrel during the peak of the US/Israel–Iran conflict, but retreated to above US$ 90 after a new wave… 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
WTI oil exceeded US$ 100 per barrel during the peak of the US/Israel–Iran conflict, but retreated to above US$ 90 after a new wave of fighting in the week of 2026-09-01. The situation in the Strait of Hormuz remains unstable.
Source: idahonews.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve 'Sim' se o preço de fechamento diário do WTI (West Texas Intermediate) registrado pela CME Group ou pela EIA (U.S. Energy Information Administration) superar US$ 100/barril em qualquer sessão entre 2026-09-04 e 2026-10-31. Caso contrário, resolve 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.