World · Open for opinions
Will the Federal Reserve cut US interest rates at least once by December 2026?
The Fed kept interest rates steady in March 2026 after the start of the conflict with Iran. 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: December 16, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
The Fed kept interest rates steady in March 2026 after the start of the conflict with Iran. In September 2026, a Fed governor signaled that the central bank should act if inflation does not improve, while Treasury Secretary Bessent argued for ignoring energy prices.
Source: www.wsj.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve 'Sim' se o Federal Reserve anunciar redução na meta para a taxa dos fed funds em qualquer reunião do FOMC até e incluindo a reunião de dezembro de 2026, conforme comunicado oficial do Fed (federalreserve.gov). Caso contrário, resolve 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.