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Will the Federal Reserve raise the interest rate at the upcoming FOMC meeting scheduled for November 2026?

Fed Governor Michael Barr stated on 09/29/2026 that further interest rate hikes will likely be necessary to curb persistent… 73 opinions, 66% Yes

  • Yes — 66%
  • No — 34%

Deadline: November 15, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 73 opinions

Resolution rules

Fed Governor Michael Barr stated on 09/29/2026 that further interest rate hikes will likely be necessary to curb persistent inflation in the US, further citing geopolitical uncertainty and the AI investment boom as inflationary pressure factors.

Source: www.bnd.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolve com base na decisão oficial do Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) divulgada ao final da reunião de novembro de 2026. Se a taxa dos Fed Funds for elevada em relação ao nível vigente em 30/09/2026, resolve 'Sim'; caso contrário, 'Não'. Fonte: comunicado oficial do Federal Reserve (federalreserve.gov).

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Yes has 66% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 34 points, a wrong one costs about 66.

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