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Will the US consumer confidence index (University of Michigan) reach an all-time low by December 31, 2026?

An October 26, 2026 report indicates that American consumer sentiment is close to historic lows on the eve of the election,… 87 opinions, 72% No

  • Yes — 28%
  • No — 72%

Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 87 opinions

Resolution rules

An October 26, 2026 report indicates that American consumer sentiment is close to historic lows on the eve of the election, reflecting concerns over inflation and economic policy.

Source: www.thedailystar.net

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolve 'Sim' se a leitura final mensal do Índice de Sentimento do Consumidor da Universidade de Michigan registrar valor abaixo do mínimo histórico anterior (aproximadamente 50,0, registrado em junho de 2022) em qualquer divulgação até dezembro de 2026. Fonte: Universidade de Michigan / surveys.sca.isr.umich.edu.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now No has 72% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 28 points, a wrong one costs about 72.

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