World · Open for opinions
Will the US Consumer Sentiment Index (University of Michigan) exceed 55 points in the final December 2026 reading?
In October 2026, the index fell to 48.0—the second-lowest reading in history—15% below February, before the conflict with Iran. 86 opinions, 72% No
- Yes — 28%
- No — 72%
Deadline: January 5, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 86 opinions
Resolution rules
In October 2026, the index fell to 48.0—the second-lowest reading in history—15% below February, before the conflict with Iran. Economists expect inflationary deceleration in 2027.
Source: www.aljazeera.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolvido com base na leitura final do Índice de Sentimento do Consumidor da Universidade de Michigan referente a dezembro de 2026, divulgada oficialmente pelo Surveys of Consumers. 'Sim' se o índice final for estritamente acima de 55,0; 'Não' caso contrário.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 72% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 28 points, a wrong one costs about 72.