World · Open for opinions
Will the Federal Reserve raise interest rates at its November 2026 meeting?
The September 2026 CPI showed annual inflation at 3.7%, above expectations of 3.6%, hardening market bets on interest rate hikes. 79 opinions, 65% Yes
- Yes — 65%
- No — 35%
Deadline: November 10, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 79 opinions
Resolution rules
The September 2026 CPI showed annual inflation at 3.7%, above expectations of 3.6%, hardening market bets on interest rate hikes. The 2-year Treasury yield rose 13 basis points to 4.92%, and the 10-year yield approached 24-year highs.
Source: www.theguardian.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolvido com base na decisão oficial do Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) divulgada pelo Federal Reserve após a reunião de novembro de 2026. Se o intervalo da taxa dos fed funds for elevado em relação ao nível vigente em 15/10/2026, resolve como 'Sim'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 65% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 35 points, a wrong one costs about 65.