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Will Ethiopia and Eritrea sign a ceasefire agreement by 11/30/2026?
Consider formal truce or ceasefire announcements between 10/10 and 11/30 following an escalation of hostilities on the border. 79 opinions, 75% No
- Yes — 25%
- No — 75%
Deadline: November 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 79 opinions
Resolution rules
Consider formal truce or ceasefire announcements between 10/10 and 11/30 following an escalation of hostilities on the border.
Source: www.reuters.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Janela de apuração: de 10/10/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 30/11/2026 (23:59). Fatos anteriores não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se os governos de Etiópia e Eritreia anunciarem a assinatura de um acordo de cessar-fogo ou trégua bilateral até 30/11/2026, confirmado por comunicado oficial das partes, da União Africana ou pela Reuters, AP ou AFP. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 75% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 25 points, a wrong one costs about 75.