World · Closed, awaiting result
Will the European Central Bank (ECB) keep its interest rates unchanged at its October 2026 meeting?
The ECB faces 3.8% inflation driven by energy and is closely monitoring the French debt crisis and rising sovereign bond yields. 85 opinions, 72% Yes
- Yes — 72%
- No — 28%
Deadline: November 1, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 85 opinions
Resolution rules
The ECB faces 3.8% inflation driven by energy and is closely monitoring the French debt crisis and rising sovereign bond yields. Keeping rates on hold is the analysts' baseline scenario.
Source: realeconomy.rsmus.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se o BCE não alterar nenhuma de suas taxas de referência (depósito, refinanciamento principal e empréstimo marginal) na reunião de outubro de 2026. Fonte: comunicado oficial do BCE em ecb.europa.eu.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.