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What will the IMF's assessment of Iran's economy be in the October 2026 World Economic Outlook report?
Trump claims that Iran's economy is collapsing under sanctions pressure, while former Iranian central bank… 22 opinions, 32% Severe recession (below -3%)
- Positive growth (above 0%) — 23%
- Stagnation (between -1% and 0%) — 23%
- Moderate recession (between -3% and -1%) — 23%
- Severe recession (below -3%) — 32%
Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 22 opinions
Resolution rules
Trump claims that Iran's economy is collapsing under sanctions pressure, while former Iranian central bank advisors contest this assessment. Iran International points out that inflation, freight costs, and supply restrictions are already impacting the local economy even before 'Economic D-Day'.
Source: www.cnbc.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve com base na projeção de crescimento do PIB real do Irã para 2026 publicada pelo FMI no World Economic Outlook de outubro de 2026 (imf.org). A faixa correspondente à estimativa oficial será a opção vencedora.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Severe recession (below -3%) has 32% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 68 points, a wrong one costs about 32.