World · Open for opinions
Will the armed conflict involving Iran cause a formal disruption in the global oil supply (embargo or blockade recognized by an international body) by March 2027?
According to the NYT (09/18/2026), the war with Iran caused government bond interest rates to rise and shook global markets, with the… 40 opinions, 70% No
- Yes — 30%
- No — 70%
Deadline: March 19, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 40 opinions
Resolution rules
According to the NYT (09/18/2026), the war with Iran caused government bond interest rates to rise and shook global markets, with the Fed trying to keep up with the surge in bond rates.
Source: www.nytimes.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se a AIE (Agência Internacional de Energia) ou a ONU publicar relatório oficial reconhecendo embargo ou bloqueio no fornecimento de petróleo atribuído diretamente ao conflito com o Irã até 19/03/2027. Resolve como 'Não' caso contrário.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 70% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 30 points, a wrong one costs about 70.