World · Open for opinions
Will Kevin Warsh announce an interest rate hike in the US by the end of October 2026?
After the Jackson Hole symposium (August 2026), Warsh signaled more clearly that the Fed may need to raise interest rates in the… 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
After the Jackson Hole symposium (August 2026), Warsh signaled more clearly that the Fed may need to raise interest rates in the coming months to control high inflation, generating market expectations of a possible hike still in 2026.
Source: www.facebook.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se o Federal Reserve, sob presidência de Kevin Warsh, elevar a taxa dos Fed Funds em qualquer reunião do FOMC realizada até 2026-10-31, conforme comunicado oficial publicado em federalreserve.gov. Resolve como 'Não' caso contrário.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.