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Will the US and Iran sign a ceasefire or formal diplomatic agreement by December 31, 2026?

The US and Iran exchanged attacks on oil tankers in the Persian Gulf in September 2026, raising tensions in the Middle East Sea and… 20 opinions, 50% Yes

  • Yes — 50%
  • No — 50%

Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions

Resolution rules

The US and Iran exchanged attacks on oil tankers in the Persian Gulf in September 2026, raising tensions in the Middle East Sea and impacting global shipping routes.

Source: www.youtube.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolve 'Sim' se um acordo formal de cessar-fogo ou trégua entre EUA e Irã for anunciado e confirmado por fontes governamentais de ambos os países ou por organismo multilateral reconhecido (ex.: ONU) até 31/12/2026. Caso contrário, resolve 'Não'.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.

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