World · Open for opinions
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) hike the interest rate by the end of 2026, in light of the 4.3% inflation?
Australian inflation accelerated to 4.3% in October 2026, driven by a 9.4% jump in fuel costs stemming from the conflict in Iran,… 87 opinions, 52% Yes
- Yes — 52%
- No — 48%
Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 87 opinions
Resolution rules
Australian inflation accelerated to 4.3% in October 2026, driven by a 9.4% jump in fuel costs stemming from the conflict in Iran, with petrol and diesel prices 24% higher than the previous year. Treasurer Jim Chalmers attributes the spike to the Middle East war, but polls show
Source: www.theguardian.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolvido com base na decisão de política monetária do Reserve Bank of Australia (rba.gov.au) publicada até 31 de dezembro de 2026. Se o RBA anunciar aumento da taxa de caixa oficial em qualquer reunião até essa data, resolve 'Sim'; caso a taxa permaneça estável ou seja reduzida, resolve 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 52% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 48 points, a wrong one costs about 52.