World · Open for opinions
Will US annual inflation exceed 4% in any official Q4 2026 reading?
US annual inflation was projected at 3.6% in September 2026, pressured by tariffs and the impact of the conflict with Iran on oil… 78 opinions, 68% No
- Yes — 32%
- No — 68%
Deadline: January 20, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 78 opinions
Resolution rules
US annual inflation was projected at 3.6% in September 2026, pressured by tariffs and the impact of the conflict with Iran on oil prices. The Fed already raised interest rates to ~3.9% in September to contain the price rise.
Source: www.cbsnews.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolução com base nas leituras mensais do CPI (Consumer Price Index) divulgadas pelo Bureau of Labor Statistics dos EUA (bls.gov) referentes a outubro, novembro ou dezembro de 2026. O mercado resolve 'Sim' se qualquer uma dessas leituras registrar variação anual acima de 4,0%.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 68% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 32 points, a wrong one costs about 68.