World · Open for opinions
Will the yield on the 10-year US Treasury note exceed 5.5% by the end of October 2026?
Following the US inflation report on 10/14/2026, the yield on the 10-year US Treasury note rose to 5.3%, raising fiscal concerns and… 81 opinions, 68% No
- Yes — 32%
- No — 68%
Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 81 opinions
Resolution rules
Following the US inflation report on 10/14/2026, the yield on the 10-year US Treasury note rose to 5.3%, raising fiscal concerns and pressure on global markets.
Source: www.theguardian.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se o yield do US Treasury de 10 anos (medido pelo fechamento diário no mercado secundário, conforme dados do U.S. Department of the Treasury em treasury.gov) atingir ou superar 5,50% em qualquer dia útil até 31/10/2026. Resolve como 'Não' caso contrário.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 68% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 32 points, a wrong one costs about 68.