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Will Iran and the US reach a formal nuclear agreement by December 31, 2026?

Iran has classified the latest US proposal to end the conflict as 'insufficient', signaling a stalemate in negotiations in October… 78 opinions, 90% No

  • Yes — 10%
  • No — 90%

Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 78 opinions

Resolution rules

Iran has classified the latest US proposal to end the conflict as 'insufficient', signaling a stalemate in negotiations in October 2026, as conflicts in the Middle East intensify.

Source: www.pbs.org

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolve 'Sim' se os governos dos EUA e do Irã assinarem formalmente um acordo nuclear ou se a Agência Internacional de Energia Atômica (AIEA) confirmar adesão iraniana a novo acordo antes de 31 de dezembro de 2026. Fonte: anúncios oficiais dos governos dos EUA e Irã, ou comunicado da AIEA (iaea.org).

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now No has 90% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 10 points, a wrong one costs about 90.

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