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Will US consumer inflation (CPI) return to the Fed's 2% target by December 2026?
In August 2026, US inflation remained above the Fed's 2% target, with July data pointing to a concerning pattern despite some… 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: December 18, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
In August 2026, US inflation remained above the Fed's 2% target, with July data pointing to a concerning pattern despite some moderation in the previous two months.
Source: www.cnbc.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolvido como 'Sim' se o índice CPI anual (all-items) divulgado pelo U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (bls.gov) registrar 2,0% ou menos no relatório referente a novembro de 2026 (publicado em dezembro de 2026). Caso contrário, 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.