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Will the US and Israel sign a new bilateral mutual defense or truce agreement by November 30, 2026?

Considers bilateral agreements announced between 10/21 and 11/30 after an official visit to Israel. 85 opinions, 60% No

  • Yes — 40%
  • No — 60%

Deadline: November 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 85 opinions

Resolution rules

Considers bilateral agreements announced between 10/21 and 11/30 after an official visit to Israel.

Source: www.aljazeera.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Janela de apuração: de 21/10/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 30/11/2026 (23:59). Fatos, anúncios ou eventos anteriores ao início da janela não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se os governos dos Estados Unidos e de Israel anunciarem e formalizarem a assinatura de um novo tratado de defesa ou acordo oficial de trégua regional até 30/11/2026, confirmado pelo Departamento de Estado dos EUA, gabinete do Primeiro-Ministro de Israel ou agências Reuters, AP ou Al Jazeera. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now No has 60% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 40 points, a wrong one costs about 60.

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