World · Open for opinions
Will the Federal Reserve raise the U.S. benchmark interest rate at least once before the end of 2026?
U.S. 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
U.S. inflation remains above the Fed's 2% target, and markets are pricing in a possible rate hike soon, according to an NPR report from 08/30/2026.
Source: www.npr.org
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve 'Sim' se o Federal Reserve anunciar aumento da taxa dos Fed Funds em qualquer reunião do FOMC realizada entre 01/09/2026 e 31/12/2026, conforme comunicado oficial publicado em federalreserve.gov.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.