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Will U.S. annual inflation in September 2026 (CPI) be higher than 3.5%?

Economists project that U.S. 78 opinions, 72% Yes

  • Yes — 72%
  • No — 28%

Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 78 opinions

Resolution rules

Economists project that U.S. annual inflation in September 2026 will rise to 3.6%, driven by tariffs and the impact of the war with Iran on energy prices, remaining well above the Federal Reserve's 2% target.

Source: www.cbsnews.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolvido com base no índice CPI (Consumer Price Index) de setembro de 2026, publicado pelo Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) dos EUA. Resolve como 'Sim' se a variação anual (YoY) for superior a 3,5%; caso contrário, 'Não'.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Yes has 72% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 28 points, a wrong one costs about 72.

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