World · Open for opinions
Will the first estimate of U.S. GDP in the third quarter of 2026 indicate growth of 3.0% or more (annualized rate)?
Market projections point to 3.4% growth in Q3 2026, supported by investments in AI infrastructure, high-income household spending,… 85 opinions, 72% Yes
- Yes — 72%
- No — 28%
Deadline: November 5, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 85 opinions
Resolution rules
Market projections point to 3.4% growth in Q3 2026, supported by investments in AI infrastructure, high-income household spending, and federal government expenditures.
Source: realeconomy.rsmus.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se a 'advance estimate' do PIB do 3º trimestre de 2026, divulgada pelo Bureau of Economic Analysis (bea.gov), indicar crescimento anualizado igual ou superior a 3,0%. Fonte: BEA (bea.gov).
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 72% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 28 points, a wrong one costs about 72.