World · Open for opinions
Will the US and Iran formally announce a diplomatic agreement or truce by October 31, 2026?
Consider announcements between 09/29 and 10/31 amid efforts by international mediators to contain the escalation between Washington… 72 opinions, 65% No
- Yes — 35%
- No — 65%
Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 72 opinions
Resolution rules
Consider announcements between 09/29 and 10/31 amid efforts by international mediators to contain the escalation between Washington and Tehran.
Source: www.aljazeera.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Janela de apuração: de 29/09/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 31/10/2026 (23:59). Fatos, anúncios ou eventos anteriores ao início da janela não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se os governos dos Estados Unidos e do Irã anunciarem conjuntamente ou confirmarem a assinatura de um acordo diplomático, cessar-fogo ou protocolo de trégua até 31/10/2026, conforme comunicado pela Casa Branca, chancelaria iraniana, Reuters ou AP. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 65% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 35 points, a wrong one costs about 65.