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Will the Federal Reserve keep interest rates unchanged at its monetary policy decision this week (October 2026)?

Analysts expect the Fed to keep interest rates steady in the week of October 23, 2026, ahead of the November midterm elections, amid… Result: Yes

  • Yes — 85% (result)
  • No — 15%

Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 85 opinions

Resolution rules

Analysts expect the Fed to keep interest rates steady in the week of October 23, 2026, ahead of the November midterm elections, amid inflationary pressures and rising energy prices.

Source: realeconomy.rsmus.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolve como 'Sim' se o Comitê Federal de Mercado Aberto (FOMC) não alterar a faixa-alvo dos federal funds em sua decisão publicada na última semana de outubro de 2026. Fonte: comunicado oficial do Federal Reserve em federalreserve.gov.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

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